Annual Inside Higher Ed bracket shows who would win NCAA championship based on academic performance

After a temporary hiatus due to the pesky little pandemic that turned the world upside down almost exactly a year ago, the National Collegiate Athletic Association’s Division I men’s basketball tournament resumes this week. Sixty-eight college teams will vie to be crowned champion at the highest level of intercollegiate basketball.

Also making its return after a one-year break is Inside Higher Ed’s own annual tradition at this time of year. Our Academic Performance Tournament plays out the actual competitive bracket as if the outcome of each game was determined not by a mix of skill, teamwork and strategy but by comparing the teams’ academic performance.

Forgive us this little flight of fancy. It’s quaint, we know, but we like to pretend that academics matter and to give just a little attention (amid the gobs paid to the actual outcome of games by sports fanatics and even casual bracket bettors) to the colleges and universities whose basketball players score well using the NCAA’s modest metrics for ensuring that college athletes are students, too.

We first match the teams based on the 2018-19 academic progress rate, the NCAA's multiyear measure of a team's academic performance. (Among other things, the APR excludes athletes who leave in good academic standing, so high-octane programs where players tend to go pro early can still fare well on the measure.)

When two teams tie going head to head on the APR, we turn to the NCAA's graduation success rate for 2019-20, which measures the proportion of athletes who graduated within six years of entering the institution. (The graduation success rate also excludes athletes who leave the institution in good academic standing, and credits programs for players who transfer in and go on to graduate from the institution. As a result, the rates on average are significantly higher than the federal graduation rate, the formula the federal government uses to track graduation rates for all students.)

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