A promising future for Future Forward

A promising future for Future Forward
By Claire Chuter, Johns Hopkins University
Jones & Li (2022) recently conducted an evaluation of Future Forward, and it’s a perfect illustration of the value in subgroup analysis. Future Forward is a tutoring and family engagement program that aims to improve literacy and social development for students in grades K-2.
 
In the fall of 2020, 153 students were randomly assigned to the Future Forward participant group and 144 to the business-as-usual group. Nine schools participated in the study: four in Wisconsin, three in Alabama, and two in South Carolina. The authors used generalized linear models to estimate the impact of Future Forward on reading achievement. The overall impact of Future Forward was estimated at between 0.09 and 0.10 standard deviations, but was not statistically significant. This is not a small impact in education, especially during the COVID-19 era, and hints that Future Forward will continue to help students if scaled up.
 
But the story does not stop there. Compared to the overall impact, Future Forward had roughly three times the impact on Black students (ES = +0.34, p =.095) and five times the impact on Black male students (ES = +0.54, p =.052). Evaluation of Future Forward will continue during the 2021-22 school year, and will allow further insight into the program’s impact overall and on subgroups as we exit the pandemic.

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